2011 Ontario Election Polls

Ontario Liberals Poised for Historic Three-Peat Majority

Tuesday, October 04, 2011

Toronto, ON – With less than two days left before Ontario voters head to the polls, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for Global News, CFRB NewsTalk 1010 and the Ottawa Citizen suggests that the Ontario Liberals are headed back into government at Queen’s Park with an assured minority and poised for a potential historic three-peat Majority.     


Ontario Election Debate Viewers Say McGuinty Wins Debate (33%) Over Horwath (29%) Bests Hudak (25%)

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Toronto, ON – A flash poll conducted on behalf of Global News among Ontario Election debate viewers immediately following the event has revealed that one in three (33%) think Liberal Leader Dalton McGuinty won the debate (down 1 point from the 34% who thought he would win in Ipsos Reid’s pre-debate poll), narrowly edging out NDP Leader Andrea Horwath (29%) who performed well above expectations (up 15 points from the 14% who thought she would win), and who appears to have had the biggest impact on viewers through her performance. Just one quarter (25%) say that Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Hudak won the debate (up 1 point from the pre-debate poll).     


Heading into Debate, One in Three (34%) Think McGuinty will Win, Placing Ahead of Hudak (24%) and Horwath (14%), But Three in Ten (28%) Unsure of Who will Win

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Toronto, ON – Heading into the debate, Dalton McGuinty has the highest expectations to win the debate, according to a new Ipsos Reid flash poll conducted in the hours leading up to the debate. The poll, conducted exclusively for Global Television, reveals that one in three (34%) think Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty will win the debate, placing him ahead of his rivals Tim Hudak of the Progressive Conservatives (24%) and Andrea Horwath (14%) of the NDP. Three in ten (28%) are unsure of who will win the debate tonight.     


Half (49%) of Ontarians Say They’re Likely to Watch the Debate as Majority (53%) Agrees Leader’s Debate Most Important Part of Campaign

Monday, September 26, 2011

Toronto, ON – Half (49%) of Ontarians say they’re at least somewhat likely (14% very likely/34% somewhat) to watch the leader’s debate tomorrow evening, according to a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of Global Television, CFRB Newstalk 1010 and the Ottawa Citizen. The other half (51%) of Ontarians are ‘not likely’ (26% not at all/26% not very) to take in the verbal sparring airing at 6:30pm on Tuesday evening.     


Ford Nation Little Help for Tories as Most (53%) Say Ford Being Mayor of Toronto Makes them Less Likely to Vote for the PCs in the Provincial Election, Just 9% More Likely

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Toronto, ON – Amid the talk of completing a Tory trifecta – Stephen Harper as Prime Minister, Rob Ford as Mayor of Toronto, and Tim Hudak as Premier of Ontario – a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for Global Television, CFRB Newstalk 1010 and the Ottawa Citizen has revealed that linking a vote for the PCs to the Ford Nation is hurting the Hudak campaign more than it’s helping.     


Six in Ten (62%) Ontarians Agree Party Leaders Talking about the Issues that Matter to Them

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Toronto, ON – Six in ten (62%) Ontarians ‘agree’ (6% strongly/56% somewhat) that ‘so far, the party leaders are talking about issues that are important’ to them, according to a new Ipsos Reid poll of 8,391 Ontarians conducted on behalf of Global Television, CFRB Newstalk 1010 and the Ottawa Citizen. Conversely, four in ten (38%) ‘disagree’ (7% strongly/32% somewhat), saying that the leaders aren’t talking about issues that are important to them.     


Liberal Leader McGuinty Reclaims Top Spot as the Party Leader Who Would Make the Best Premier (39%), PC Leader Hudak Falls to Second Place (31%)

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Toronto, ON – On the heels of yesterday’s horserace poll that revealed a dead heat between the Liberals and the Progressive Conservatives, a new Ipsos Reid poll of decided voters reveals that in the span of a month, Dalton McGuinty has convinced a plurality of voters that he is the man that would make the best Premier of Ontario, likely a function of the fact that nearly two thirds (63%) now believe the province is on the right track, an increase of 12 points since last month. Everything seems to be moving in the right direction for the Liberals, with momentum clearly on their side over the first week of the campaign.     


Neck and Neck: After First Week of Ontario Election Campaigning McGuinty Liberals (38%) and Hudak PCs (37%) Tied with NDP Trailing (24%)

Monday, September 12, 2011

Toronto, ON – With the Ontario Election officially underway, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for Global News, CFRB NewsTalk 1010 and the Ottawa Citizen reveals that it’s neck and neck between Premier Dalton McGuinty’s Liberals (38%) and Tim Hudak’s Progressive Conservatives (37%) with the New Democratic Party under Andrea Horwath trailing (24%).     


Ontario Politics

Thursday, September 01, 2011

Toronto, ON - With the Ontario election campaign underway and headed for election day on October 6, 2011, Senior Vice President John Wright lays out the political landscape in Ontario at the outset of the campaign.     


While Half (51%) Believe Ontario Heading on Right Track (+19 Points from One Year Ago), Just One Third (34%) Say McGuinty Government Has Done a Good Job and Deserves Re-Election

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Toronto, ON – With the writ dropping for the Ontario Election on September 7th and the official campaign for the fixed Election Day of October 6th nearly underway, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of Postmedia News, Global Television and CFRB Radio NewsTalk 1010 suggests that the gap between the two leading parties – and leaders – is closing, and that the campaign is shaping up to be a tight horserace that is still to be either won or lost.     


Most (83%) Ontarians Support Ban on Indoor Tanning by Youth Under the Age of 18

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Toronto, ON – Most (83%) Ontarians ‘support’ (56% strongly/27% somewhat) ‘the Government of Ontario implementing a ban on indoor tanning on youth under the age of 18 years old’, according to a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of the Canadian Cancer Society. Conversely, just two in ten (17%) ‘oppose’ (6% strongly/12% somewhat) such a ban.     


McGuinty Liberals (38%) End 2009 Seven Points Down from Where they Started

Saturday, January 09, 2010

Toronto, ON – Ontario’s McGuinty Liberals will start 2010 off seven (7) points behind where they started (45%) in 2009: 38% of voters would choose the provincial Liberal’s compared to the Progressive Conservatives under new leader Tim Hudak at 34%, down 2 points since October but up 5 since January 2009, according to an Ipsos Reid poll conducted in December on behalf of Canwest News Service and Global Television.     


Ontarians Give McGuinty’s Grits Their Priorities

Friday, October 12, 2007

Toronto, ON – With the re-election of Dalton McGuinty to the Premier’s Office for the next four years, Ipsos Reid’s Election Day Poll of more than 7,500 voting Ontarians, conducted exclusively on behalf of Global Television and CanWest News Service, reveals the priorities which Ontarians believe should be the focus of McGuinty’s government going forward.     


Voter Turnout Key Factor In Election Result

Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Toronto, ON – After a relatively short campaign period comes to an end and the fate of Ontario’s political landscape lies in the hands of Ontarians, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of CanWest News Service and Global Television reveals that voter turnout will likely be a key factor in determining the outcome of this election.     


Tory’s Gambit Fails: Grits Headed For Majority Government

Saturday, October 06, 2007

Toronto, ON – It appears that Progressive Conservative leader John Tory’s change of heart on the faith-based school funding issue this past Monday has not changed the minds of Ontarians. Mr. Tory announced that any vote on the controversial matter would be preceded by broad consultation and then follow with a ‘free vote’ in the Legislature.     


Post Debate Tory Tumble Gives McGuinty Liberals Ten Point Lead

Saturday, September 29, 2007

Toronto, ON – As the fallout from last week’s leaders debate settles in the minds of Ontarians, and amid growing opposition to the faith-based school funding issue, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively on behalf of CanWest News Service reveals that the lead that the Liberals have enjoyed over their chief rival Progressive Conservatives has risen now to a ten-point gap.     


Will Hot Debate Thaw Frozen Voters?

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Toronto, ON – As the party leaders focus their attention on preparing for the debate on September 20th, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television finds that Ontario voters remain virtually unmoved since Ipsos Reid’s last poll. In what promises to be a critical debate in defining the platforms and ideas of parties, Tory’s Progressive Conservatives at 37% support remain in close striking distance of McGuinty’s Liberals who lead at 40% support. However, with the Liberals still in the lead, it appears as though the Liberals are in reach, but just out of grasp of trailing Tories. The NDP under Howard Hampton are holding steady at 16% support, while the Green Party is standing pat at 6% support. Nine percent of voters remain undecided.     


Ontario Vote Essentially Stagnant After First Week

Saturday, September 15, 2007

Toronto, ON – As the party leaders begin to criss-cross the province on their buses (or bikes) during the first week of the campaign trail, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television finds that support for all of the parties has essentially remained the same since polling conducted in the week before the campaign got underway.     


Faith-Based Funding A Clear Loser For John Tory, But Desire For Change Buttresses Conservatives

Monday, September 10, 2007

Toronto, ON – A new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television and released on the eve of the official launch of the Ontario provincial election campaign finds that John Tory’s Progressive Conservatives have narrowed the gap in their race against Dalton McGuinty’s Ontario Liberals from a seven-point deficit measured on August 24th to a five-point deficit today--a result that comes in the face of John Tory’s apparently unpopular stance in favour of faith-based funding for schools, which apparently has been partially offset by the latest Conservative “McGuinty’s record of broken promises” radio blitz.     


McGuinty Liberals (42%) Get Growth Spurt Over Tory’s Tories (35%) In Week That Premier Declares Faith Based School Funding A ‘Ballot Issue’, Promotes ‘Highway of Heroes’

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Toronto, ON – In a week where Ontario Premier McGuinty declares faith based school funding a ‘ballot issue’ and promotes a ‘highway of heroes’, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television finds that McGuinty’s Liberals have benefited from a growth spurt, gaining two points in the last week, while Tory’s Progressive Conservatives have dropped two points in the same time frame. While support for the PCs was maintaining close proximity to levels of support for the governing Liberals since May, the Liberals have now widened the gap to a lead of 7 points.     


As The Ontario Election Draws Near, The GTA Moves Red While The Rest Of Ontario Moves Blue

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Toronto, ON – As the Ontario provincial election to be held in October draws near, the Liberals and the PCs are moving in lockstep, province-wide, with the results of a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television finding that the Liberals under Dalton McGuinty have the support of 40% of Ontarians, while John Tory’s Progressive Conservatives are in close striking distance with the support of 37% of Ontarians. Since Ipsos Reid’s last poll released in June of 2007, both the Grits and the Tories have only managed to increase their support by 1% point each province-wide, despite stepping up their pre-election efforts.     


Race Tightens as Summer Heats Up

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Toronto, ON – As Canadians enjoy the balmy weather and hot summer sun this Canada Day weekend, the Ontario provincial election race tightens, with levels of support for the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives drawing closer to each other. A new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television finds that the Liberals under Dalton McGuinty have the support of 39% of Ontarians, while John Tory’s Progressive Conservatives are hot on their trail with the support of 36% of Ontarians.     


The Dog Days Of Summer May Portend Election Dogfight

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Toronto, ON – As the dog days of summer approach, the political environment promises to heat up with vigorous campaigning which may portend an election dog fight. With the Ontario legislature drawing closer to its summer break, provincial politicians will be shifting their focus from question period to the campaign trail in preparation for the election set for October 10. The results of a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television reveal that Ontario could be in minority government territory, with support for the provincial Liberals and the Conservatives only 4 points off each other. The Liberals, at 41% support, are hovering in an around where they have been for the past while; the Tories at 37% support are in the hunt, maintaining their close proximity to the Liberal government, which surely provides an interesting context for the campaign as it heats up over the summer. The New Democratic Party, led by Howard Hampton, has the support of 15% of Ontario voters, while the Green Party, led by Frank de Jong, currently has the support of 6% of voters in Ontario.     


Ontario Politics With Just Over 7 Months To “E” Day Liberals(38%) Lead Tories (33%), NDP (17%) And Green (9%)

Saturday, February 24, 2007

Toronto, ON – According to a new Ipsos Reid survey of Ontarians conducted for CanWest/ Global News and CFRB, Dalton McGuinty’s provincial Liberal Party (38%) has a 5-point lead over John Tory’s Conservative Party (33%) with just over seven months to go until Election Day on October 4, 2007. Meanwhile, Howard Hampton’s NDP (17%) and Frank de Jong’s Green Party (9%) trail the front runners. Ten percent are “undecided”.     


Ontario Politics: Liberals Gain Lead (41%, +4 Points) While Conservatives Slide (34%, -6 Points)

Thursday, November 09, 2006

Toronto, ON – According to a new Ipsos Reid survey of 1000 Ontarians provided to Global News and CFRB, the John Tory led Conservative Party has slid -6 points in the polls since a survey conducted this past May (now with 34% of the decided votes) and fallen well behind the front-running incumbent Premier Dalton McGuinty and the Liberal Party (41%, +4 points).     


Ontario's Political Landscape: Conservatives (40%, +3 Points) Have Close Edge On Governing Liberals (37%, Unchanged)

Friday, June 09, 2006

Toronto, ON – According to a new Ipsos Reid survey of 770 Ontarians, conducted on behalf of Global News and CFRB, the John Tory led Progressive Conservatives (40%, +3 points from a February Ipsos Reid survey) have gained a slight edge on the current ruling Dalton McGuinty led Liberal Party (37%, unchanged).     


Tories (38%) And Liberals (37%) Remain Essentially Tied In The Polls In Ontario

Wednesday, October 12, 2005

Toronto, ON - With Dalton McGuinty and the Liberals preparing for their government's second Speech from the Throne today and the return of the provincial legislature, a new Ipsos Reid survey conducted for CanWest/Global and CFRB indicates that Premier Dalton McGuinty and the Liberals (37%, -1 point from July 2005) and the John Tory led Progressive Conservatives (38%, unchanged) are essentially tied in the polls. Meanwhile, Howard Hampton and the NDP (17%, -1 point) and Frank de Jong and the Green Party (7%, +1 point) trail the front-running parties distantly.     


The Ontario Political Landscape -- In The Dead Heat Of Summer

Tuesday, July 26, 2005

Toronto, ON – In the dead heat of one of Ontario’s warmest summers on record a new Ipsos-Reid survey provided exclusively to CanWest Global and CFRB indicates Dalton McGuinty’s Liberals and John Tory’s Conservatives are knotted at 38% each of decided voter support, as Howard Hampton’s NDP (18%) and Frank de Jong’s Green Party (6%) trail.     


Governing Liberals (37%) Hold Edge Over Opposition PC’s (35%), As NDP (18%), Green (9%) Trail

Monday, January 24, 2005

Toronto, ON – According to a new Ipsos-Reid/The Globe and Mail/CFTO/CFRB survey released today, Ontario’s Liberals, led by Premier Dalton McGuinty, have an edge (37%) over new leader John Tory’s Progressive Conservatives (35%) if an election were held in the province tomorrow. Both parties lead the NDP (18%) and the Green Party (9%). And while the new PC leader, even without a seat yet in the Legislature, has managed to pick up two points since October 2004 and come within striking distance of the Liberals, Premier McGuinty can perhaps take some comfort that this poll also finds that half of Ontarians (50%) believe he has the province on the right track (up smartly by five points since October) and almost equally as many (49%) believe his government is governing well—especially as the government hits some turbulence dealing with the provinces doctors and hospitals.     


The McGuinty Government At Its One Year Anniversary

Saturday, October 02, 2004

Toronto, ON – At the one-year anniversary of Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty’s election (when his party successfully captured 47% of the decided vote) it appears his Liberal Party has started to recover in the polls after a steep decline following the government’s first budget in May. The new numbers suggest that Premier McGuinty’s governing party has received a post “National Health Summit” bounce while the once leading Progressive Conservatives have slipped following their recent leadership convention and the choosing of their new leader, John Tory.     


Ontario Politics A Week Before the Ontario Progressive Conservative Leadership Convention

Thursday, September 09, 2004

Toronto, ON – A new Ipsos-Reid poll released today by CFTO/The Globe and Mail/CFRB shows that a week before the choosing of a new leader in Toronto, the Ontario Progressive Conservative Party leads with 35 percent of the decided Ontario vote (down four points from 39% in June), compared to 32 percent for the governing Ontario Liberals (no change since June), the Ontario NDP at 24 percent (up one point from 23%) and the Ontario Green Party at 8 percent (up three points from 5%) among decided voters.     


Honeymoon Over For Ontario Provincial Liberals

Monday, April 19, 2004

Toronto, ON – In the lead-up to the Ontario Provincial Government’s first budget since being elected last October that is expected on May 18th 2004, a new Ipsos-Reid/Globe and Mail/CFTO/CFRB survey released today shows that the Ontario Liberals have slid in the polls since their post-election high of 56% in November 2003 and 51% in December to 45% today (representing a total drop of 11 points) among decided voters. The Ontario Progressive Conservative Party trails in second place with 30% (+3 points since November and unchanged from December), followed by the Ontario New Democratic Party (19%, +7 points in total since November and +3 points since December), and The Green Party (5% --unchanged since November and down 1 point since December).     


58% Say New Ontario McGuinty Government Justified In Breaking Promises: Bring Down Deficit First

Sunday, December 14, 2003

Toronto, ON– Dalton McGuinty’s newly elected Liberal government got an early holiday present today as a poll conducted by Ipsos-Reid on behalf of Globe and Mail/CFTO/CFRB, reveals that almost six in ten (58%) Ontarians support the government in breaking its campaign promises because they believe the government should bring down the reported 5.6 billion dollar deficit before implementing their platform – a deficit that two-thirds (65%) think is real and not exaggerated. Even though the new Liberal government has broken some of their promises, 60% of Ontarians say it is better that they are governing now than the Conservatives under Ernie Eves.     


Six in Ten (60%) Ontarians Say Election of Liberals is ‘Good News’ For Province as Even More (75%) Feel McGuinty Will Do A Good Job as Premier

Saturday, November 08, 2003

Toronto, ONTARIO – Six in ten (60%) Ontarians believe that the election on October 2nd of Dalton McGuinty and the Liberals is good news for the province, according to a new Ipsos-Reid/CFTO/CFRB/Globe and Mail poll released today. One in five (20%), however, says that the election of the Liberals is bad news, while 14% feel that it is neither good nor bad news for Ontario. In context, in August 1999, 54% of Ontarians said that the re-election of Mike Harris and the Conservatives in the election the previous June was good news for the province of Ontario.