2011 Election Polls - Canada Polls

The Ipsos Reid 2011 Canadian Federal Election Polls

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

Toronto, ON – On April 28, 2011, Ipsos Reid published its fourth and final poll of the Canadian Federal Election showing Stephen Harper's Conservatives at 38%, Jack Layton's New Democratic Party at 33%, Michael Ignatieff's Liberals at 18%, Elizabeth May and her Green Party at 4% and 7% for the Bloc, nationally.     

Despite NDP Surge, Tories Poised to Win Monday’s Election

Friday, April 29, 2011

Toronto, ON – Despite the recent surge of the NDP and Jack Layton, Prime Minister Stephen Harper and his Conservative Party are poised to win Monday’s Federal Election, but voter turnout on Election Day will tell whether it will be a Tory minority or majority government.     

More Canadians Using Social Media to Engage in Election, But Traditional News Sites Still Seen as Most Important Sources of Information

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Toronto, ON – More Canadians are using social media to engage in discussion about policy and politics than before the campaign started, according to a new Ipsos Reid study conducted for Postmedia News and Global Television. Three in ten Canadians (31%) say they have logged on to social networking sites or media news sites in order to discuss public policy and political issues at least once in the past week. These results, obtained during the fourth week of the campaign (April 18 through 20), represent a significant increase from the 21% who said they went online to discuss policy or politics at least once in the past week immediately before the onset of the campaign (March 22 through 24).     

Juggernaut Layton Ahead on Key Leadership Attributes Including Best Prime Minister, Most Trustworthy

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Toronto, ON – Canadians have changed their impressions of the federal leaders drastically in the last two weeks, and when compared to two years ago Layton has made significant gains, mostly at Michael Ignatieff’s expense.     

Conservatives Lead in BC's Lower Mainland

Monday, April 25, 2011

Vancouver, BC – A new Ipsos Reid online poll in BC’s Lower Mainland (see methodology at end of factum for description of Lower Mainland region) shows the Conservatives ahead, but the NDP as the only party showing gains compared to the 2008 election result. Currently, the Conservatives have the support of 42% of decided and leaning voters in the Lower Mainland. The NDP are in second place at 29% support, followed by the Liberal Party at 23%. The Green Party is at 6%, while less than 1% support any other party. These results exclude the 7% of Lower Mainland residents who express no preference for any party.     

NDP Surge to Second Place Nationally and First in Quebec as Liberals Stumble, Bloc Collapse

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Toronto, ON – A new Ipsos Reid poll on Canada's Federal Election has captured the collapse of the Bloc vote in Quebec that has catapulted Jack Layton's NDP into first place there and second place nationally as the Liberals sink to third place. What this suggests is that with this new political landscape, Stephen Harper's Conservatives may well be headed for a solid majority government while the Ignatieff Liberals may not yet have hit bottom with just over a week to go.     

With Liberal “Hail Mary” on Healthcare in Final Quarter of Campaign, Poll Finds Liberals Least Trusted on Healthcare

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Toronto, ON – Heading into the final quarter of the campaign, Michael Ignatieff and the Liberals have thrown a “Hail Mary” pass, touring with former Prime Minister Paul Martin and trumpeting the Liberal position on healthcare, saying that the Tories would dismantle the current system and ruin Canada’s coveted healthcare system.     

One in Ten (9%) Voters Absolutely Certain to Turn Up at Polls on Election Day Still Up for Grabs in Last Two Weeks of Campaigning

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Toronto, ON – A total of 57% of Canadian voters say they are ‘absolutely certain’ to turn out and vote in this current Federal election—almost identical to the actual turnout in the last Federal election (2008 was 58.8%)*—and with two weeks of campaigning left to go, it appears that the vast majority (84%) of them have locked in their vote, according to a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for Postmedia News and Global National in the days following the Federal Party Leaders English and French debates.     

Post French-Language Debate Flash Poll Reveals Duceppe Takes the Night, Harper Stumbles

Thursday, April 14, 2011

Toronto, ON – Immediately following the French-language leaders’ debate, a flash poll of Francophone debate viewers conducted by Ipsos Reid has found that Gilles Duceppe takes the night, while Stephen Harper stumbles.     

Pre French Debate Flash Poll Shows Great Potential for Layton in Quebec Pending Performance in Tonight’s Debate

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Toronto, ON – In the hours leading up to the French-language leaders’ debate, a new Ipsos Reid flash poll conducted from noon until 6pm ET has revealed that Jack Layton has great opportunities in Quebec for his party, pending a solid performance in tonight’s debate. Following his performance in the English-leader’s debate, which gave a majority (55%) of polled viewers an improved impression of Jack Layton coming out of the debate, Francophones appear to have high expectations for Mr. Layton in tonight’s melee.     

English-Speaking Debate Viewers Say Harper (42%) Wins Debate, Layton (25%) Narrowly Bests Ignatieff (23%), Duceppe (2%) Just Registers

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Toronto, ON – Immediately following the English-language leaders’ debate, a flash poll of debate viewers conducted by Ipsos Reid has found that four in ten (42%) English-speaking viewers say Conservative Leader Stephen Harper won the debate, up from the 34% of Canadians who, prior to the debate, thought he would win.     

One in Three (33%) English-Canadians Expect Harper to Win English-Language Debate, Followed by Ignatieff (24%), Layton (13%), and Duceppe (2%), Three in Ten (28%) Don’t Know

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Toronto, ON – In the hours leading up to the debate, a flash poll of 1,861 English-speaking Canadians conducted by Ipsos Reid exclusively for Global National has revealed that one in three (33%) English-speaking Canadians believes that Stephen Harper will win the English-language debate tonight. Fewer believe that Michael Ignatieff (24%), Jack Layton (13%) or Gilles Duceppe (2%) will win. The winner’s circle is still up for grabs, however, with three in ten (28%) Canadians unsure of who will win the debate.     

Heading into Leader’s Debates, Harper Continues to Best Rivals on Economy, Trust, Best Prime Minister

Monday, April 11, 2011

Toronto, ON - There has been very little change in support for the major party leaders throughout the first two weeks of the campaign and the party leaders are now turning their efforts to the Leader’s Debates to break through the political stalemate. The debate is particularly crucial for Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff, who will have the opportunity to showcase himself to Canadians in an effort to improve upon his personal leadership numbers, which are likely holding his party back in the polls.     

The Canadian Federal Election Campaign and Social Media: Ground Breaking Research Measures Participation Rate among Potential Voters During an Election Campaign

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Toronto, ON – Heading into the federal election, many in the media had predicted that this campaign would be the first social media campaign in Canadian political history with Facebook, Twitter and specific news web sites or blogs fuelling a revolution in potential voter social engagement during and for the 2011 Federal election.     

Making the Grade: Canadians Rate the Campaigns So Far Four in Ten Give the Conservative (44%) and NDP (44%) Campaigns a Grade of A or B, Fewer Give Good Marks to Liberals (31%)

Saturday, April 09, 2011

Toronto, ON – After nearly two full weeks of the official election campaign, Canadians have weighed in and have graded the campaigns of the four major political parties so far. The grades assigned by Canadians were based on the following scale: A – their campaign is looking great, B – their campaign is looking good, C – their campaign could use some work, D – their campaign is looking bad, and F – their campaign has fallen off the tracks and looks horrible.     

The Canadian Election after Week #2: Harper’s Conservatives (41%) Hold Lead over Ignatieff’s Liberals (26%), Layton’s NDP (19%) and May’s Green Party (4%) with Duceppe’s Bloc Leading in Quebec at...

Friday, April 08, 2011

Toronto, ON – The latest Ipsos Reid poll conducted during the second week of the Federal election for Global Television and Postmedia News indicates that if the election were held tomorrow the Conservatives under Prime Minister Stephen Harper would receive 41% of the vote among decided voters (down 2 points from two weeks ago). The Liberal Party led by Michael Ignatieff would receive 26% (up 2 points), the NDP led by Jack Layton would receive 19% (up 3 points), and the Green Party led by Elizabeth may would garner just 4% (down 1 point).     

Split Decision: Half of Canadians Support Coalition (48%), Half Oppose Coalition (52%)

Saturday, April 02, 2011

Toronto, ON – The country is split on whether they support or oppose the idea of a coalition government, though a majority (54%) would prefer to see a Liberal-NDP coalition government rather than a Conservative majority government (46%), according to a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for Global National and Postmedia News.     

As Government Falls and Election Ensues, Half (49%) of Canadians Believe Harper would be Best Prime Minister for Canada, Layton (34%) Bests Ignatieff (17%)

Saturday, March 26, 2011

Toronto, ON – Amid an historic moment in Canada that saw the fall of the Government on a vote of non-confidence by the opposition parties, a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for Postmedia News and Global National has revealed that, heading into Canada’s fourth General Election in seven years, one half (49%, up 1 point since early February) of Canadians believe that Stephen Harper would make the best Prime Minister of Canada. In second position is NDP leader Jack Layton (34%, down 1 point) who has garnered twice as many votes as Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff (17%, up 1 point).