Washington, DC- Hillary Clinton has had a good run in polling since the 1st
debate. She has solidified her lead and improved her favorability ratings. Trump, on the other
hand, has had a rough go lately. However, the adverse news cycles have not significantly
depressed his favorability ratings or vote share relative to just before the 1st debate.
General Election Trends
- Hillary Clinton continues to pull ahead of Donald Trump. Among likely voters, the
margin has increased by a point with Clinton up 7 percentage points at 44% to Trump at 37%.
- A significant number of likely voters continue to support alternatives to the major two
candidates with 18% saying they will vote third party (9%), would not vote (3%) or don’t know
- Clinton also leads amongst likely voters on the 4-way ballot, which includes Gary
Johnson and Jill Stein (Clinton 42%; Trump 36%; Johnson 8%; and Stein 2%).
- Clinton’s favorability score improved in the last week to 50% amongst registered
voters, while Trump’s favorability score has also increased by 1-percantage point to 44%.
- The general economy is once again the main problem facing America today, with one-fifth
of Americans citing the economy as a top threat.
- President Barack Obama’s approval rating among all Americans rose 5-
percentage points in the last week and stands at 51%.
- In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats once again have 42% of likely
voters saying that they’ll vote for a Democratic candidate vs 38% saying that they’ll vote
for a Republican candidate.
Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters September 29-
2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,928 Americans, including 887 Democrats, 628
Republicans, 269 Independents, 1,669 registered voters and 1,239 likely voters ages 18+
were interviewed online. The precision of the
Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case,
the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for all adults, 3.8
percentage points for Democrats, 4.5 percentage points for Republicans, 6.8 percentage
points for Independents, 2.7 percentage points for registered voters and 3.2 percentage points
for likely voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education,
and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys
and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error
and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of
greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this
is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos
polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.
For more information on this news release please contact:
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
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