BC NDP Lead By 8 Points As Campaign Ends
NDP (45%, up 2) Lead BC Liberals (37%, unchanged) by 8 Points
Green Party (9%, down 1) and BC Conservatives (6%, down 1) Both Down Single Point
Adrian Dix (34%, up 3) and Christy Clark (33%, down 1) Tied as Best Premier
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Vancouver, BC – A final Ipsos Reid poll taken the Monday before Election Day is mostly unchanged from a poll taken last Wednesday and Thursday.
The NDP currently has the support of 45% of decided voters in BC. This is an 8 point lead over the BC Liberals who are at 37% support. The Green Party is at 9%, followed by the BC Conservatives at 6% and all other parties/candidates at 3%.
The NDP (45%) are up 2 points from our last poll, stealing 1 point from each of the Green Party (9%, down 1) and the BC Conservatives (6%, down 1). The BC Liberals at 37% support are unchanged from our previous poll.
- Region: The NDP has a 13 point lead in Metro Vancouver (49% NDP vs. 36% BC Lib) and a 14 point lead on Vancouver Island (45% NDP vs. 31% BC Lib). The two main parties are effectively tied in the Southern Interior/North (42% BC Lib vs. 39% NDP).
- Gender: The NDP has a 14 point lead among women (46% NDP vs. 32% BC Lib), while the two main parties are effectively tied with men (44% NDP vs. 42% BC Lib).
Adrian Dix and Christy Clark are effectively in a dead heat as the leader that voters think would make the best premier of British Columbia. Currently, 34% select Adrian Dix as best premier, up 3 points from 31% last week. Adrian Dix’s 3 point gain comes at the expense of single point losses by Christ Clark (33%, down 1), John Cummins (7%, down 1) and Jane Sterk (6%, down 1). Twenty percent (unchanged) of voters are undecided on this question.
These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll of 800 adult British Columbians conducted online using Ipsos Reid’s national online household panel on May 13, 2013. These data were statistically weighted to ensure the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual BC population according to 2011 Census data. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within +/- 4.0 percentage points had all British Columbia adults been surveyed. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.
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Ipsos Reid Public Affairs
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