Ipsos/Reuters Daily Election Tracking: Obama 49% - Romney 46%
Washington, D.C. - Today’s Reuters/Ipsos Poll shows Obama up two points to 49% and Romney up one point to 46%.
Other findings include:
- 15% of Registered Voters who indicate they will vote for Romney or Obama still say they ‘could change their minds’ before Election Day
- 22% indicate they have already cast a vote, which breaks down to 59% for Obama and 37% to Romney -- although the base size for these figures is only 234 interviews, and we know Democrats tend to vote early
- A further 26% say that they intend to vote early
This is a daily rolling tracker – this means that we conduct 300+ interviews a day, with occasional ‘boosts’, and aggregate data from the previous 4-5 days. The sample overlap that occurs as part of this process means that day-to-day changes will be incremental rather than large.
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 24-28, 2012. For the survey, a sample of 1,133 American
registered voters and 795 Likely Voters (all age 18 and over) was interviewed online. Likely voter model adjusted to include all respondents
who have voted, as of 10.15.12. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll
has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points for Registered Voters and 4.0 for Likely Voters. For more information about
credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not
applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error
and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one
per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding.
For more information on this news release please contact:
Ipsos Public Affairs
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
About Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.
Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In the U.S., UK and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals, and the Hispanic polling partner of Telemundo Communications Group, a division of NBC Universal providing Spanish-language content to U.S. Hispanics and audiences around the world.
Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.
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Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. In October 2011 Ipsos completed the acquisition of Synovate. The combination forms the world’s third largest market research company.
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