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Ipsos/Reuters Daily Election Tracking: Obama 47% - Romney 45%

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Washington, D.C. - Today’s Reuters/Ipsos Poll shows Obama leading Romney by two points: Obama on 47% (no change from yesterday) and Romney on 45% (down one from yesterday).

We have also seen a slight decline in the number of people who say they ‘could change their mind’ about who to vote for on election day. It is now hovering around 12%, which is a drop from the average of about 15% we were seeing last week.

Nearly one in five (18%) have already cast a vote, and among those who have 55% have voted Obama vs. 41% Romney.

This is a daily rolling tracker – this means that we conduct 300+ interviews a day, with occasional ‘boosts’, and aggregate data from the previous 4-5 days. The sample overlap that occurs as part of this process means that day-to-day changes will be incremental rather than large.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 23-27, 2012. For the survey, a sample of 1,665 American registered voters and 1,291 Likely Voters (all age 18 and over) was interviewed online. Likely voter model adjusted to include all respondents who have voted, as of 10.15.12. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for Registered Voters and 3.1 for Likely Voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Julia Clark
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.463.3623
julia.clark@ipsos.com

Clifford Young
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In the U.S., UK and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals, and the Hispanic polling partner of Telemundo Communications Group, a division of NBC Universal providing Spanish-language content to U.S. Hispanics and audiences around the world.

Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

To learn more visit: www.ipsos-na.com

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. In October 2011 Ipsos completed the acquisition of Synovate. The combination forms the world’s third largest market research company.

With offices in 84 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across six research specializations: advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, public affairs research, and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,363 billion (1.897 billion USD) in 2011.




Ipsos/Reuters Daily Election Tracking: Obama 47% - Romney 45%


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CliffordYoung Clifford Young
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
Work+1.202.420.2016

JuliaClark Julia Clark
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
Work+1.312.526.4919