Ipsos/Reuters Daily Election Tracking: Obama 47% - Romney 45%
Washington, D.C. - Today’s voting intention numbers are unchanged from yesterday: Obama on 47% and Romney on 45%. The debate seems to have narrowed the race, but Romney has a bit further to go to close the gap.
More data from today’s topline:
- 8% indicate they have already voted - the figure is lowest among Independents (6%) and highest among Democrats (9%). The base size is too small for us to break this down by how these people voted, but as soon as we have a sizeable enough base size, we will begin including this data as well.
- A further 30% say they play to vote early rather than on Election Day
- Debate numbers are pretty much unchanged - opinions are fairly fixed at this point:
- Just over half (54%) feel Romney did better, including a third (33%) of Democrats and half (49%) of Independents
- Over a quarter (28%) say the debate made them more positive towards Romney
- Almost half (46%) say that the debate has made them more likely to watch the next debate
This is a daily rolling tracker – this means that we conduct 300+ interviews a day, with occasional ‘boosts’, and aggregate data from the previous 4-5 days. The sample overlap that occurs as part of this process means that day-to-day changes will be incremental rather than large.
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Oct. 3-7, 2012. For the survey, a sample of 1,745
American registered voters and 1,490 Likely Voters (all age 18 and over) was interviewed online. The precision of the
Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus
2.7 percentage points for Registered Voters and 2.9 for Likely Voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error
are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited
to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero
but less than one half of a per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding.
For more information on this news release please contact:
Ipsos Public Affairs
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
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