Ipsos/Reuters Poll: Conventions Day 12
Friday, September 07, 2012
Washington - We may be seeing the beginning of a Convention bump for the President: Obama is up 2 points to 46% and Romney down one point to 44% among Likely Voters. The shifts are within the credibility interval for both candidates, but the direction of both does suggest the beginning of a post-Convention ‘bump’; tomorrow’s data will provide more clarity.
Obama’s ratings on his personal attributes have increased across some metrics:
- ‘Tough enough for the job’ is up 4 points to 42%
- ‘Represents America’ is up 4 points to 44%
- ‘Will protect American jobs’ is up 4 points to 40%
- ‘Can be effective in Washington’ is up 4 points to 38%
- ‘Presidential’ is up 3 points to 45%
- ‘Understands people like me’ is up 3 points to 44%
- ‘Has the right values’ is up 3 points to 44%
Ratings of the Democratic Convention have also increased, now at 43% among those who have seen/heard/read about it (up from 40%).
This is a daily rolling tracker – this means that we conduct 300+ interviews a day, and aggregate data from the previous five days. The sample overlap that occurs as part of this process means that day-to-day changes will be incremental rather than large. The charts attached help to show how the data is shifting over the past five days.
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from Sept 3-7, 2012. For the survey, a sample of 1,670
American registered voters was interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for all respondents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of a per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to =the effects of rounding.
Non-aligned Registered Voters are defined as those individuals not indicating a candidate preference at the Presidential Voting Intention question (Q3 below).
For more information on this news release please contact:
Ipsos Public Affairs
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
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