Washington, D.C. - Day seven of Convention tracking shows Obama and Romney tied on 45%. This signals that we’re not likely to see a sustained bump for Romney. As we go into next week’s convention, Romney will struggle to maintain even footing with the President; we’ll likely see a shift back towards Obama. The question is if, and how long, the Democrats can maintain any boost that the Convention brings them.
Summary findings from today’s poll:
- 82% of Registered Voters have seen, heard, or read at least something about the Republican Convention – but this drops to 73% among Independents and 66% among non-aligned Registered Voters (RVs who are undecided about how to vote, will vote for a third party candidate, or who say they will not vote).
- Just over two in five (41%) people who have seen, heard, or read at least something about the Convention feel it as gone well.
- Romney’s improvement on key attributes continue on an upward trajectory (see ‘Candidate Attributes’ PDF in sidebar) for ‘represents America’, ‘is a good person’, and ‘eloquent’. While none of the metrics have declined over the course of the convention, the two that are most ‘flatlined’ are ‘fun to meet in person’ and ‘presidential’ (the light orange and dark red lines respectively).
This is a daily rolling tracker – this means that we conduct 300+ interviews a day, and aggregate data from the previous five days. The sample overlap that occurs as part of this process means that day-to-day changes will be incremental rather than large. The charts attached help to show how the data is shifting over the past five days.
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters from August 29-Sept 2, 2012. For the survey, a sample of
1,441 American registered voters was interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points for all respondents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of a per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding.
Non-aligned Registered Voters are defined as those individuals not indicating a candidate preference at the Presidential Voting Intention question (Q3 below).
For more information on this news release please contact:
Ipsos Public Affairs
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
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