Ipsos/Reuters Poll: February 2012
Tuesday, February 07, 2012
Washington, D.C. - Ipsos’ latest nation-wide telephone poll carried out on behalf of Reuters and published on Tuesday, February 7, 2012 shows that:
- President Obama continues to lead Mitt Romney by about 6 points in a hypothetical general election matchup. This level is essentially unchanged from last month.
- The right track question is also stable from last month, with 32% right direction, 62% wrong track.
- Obama’s approval rate has ticked up one point (48% now) but is not significantly different than we have observed since December.
- The Democratic Party’s margin in the generic congressional has narrowed (to +2 from +4) indicating the congressional race will continue to be tight.
- After a month of contests, the national picture of the Republican primary is essentially unchanged.
- Mitt Romney continues to lead among Republican voters, currently at 29% vs. Ron Paul at 21%, Newt Gingrich at 19% and Rick Santorum at 18%. Even though he’s won three contests in the last month, Romney’s national support is essentially unchanged from what we observed just after the Iowa Caucuses (30%: Jan 9, 2012).
- Newt Gingrich overall support (-1 percentage point) is also virtually the same since last month.
- Paul (+5 percentage points) and Santorum (+5 percentage points) have both gained a little.
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Reuters from February 2nd – 6th, 2012. For the survey, a nationally representative, randomly selected sample of exactly 1,033 adults aged 18 and older across the United States was interviewed by Ipsos via live telephone interviewing on landlines and cell phones. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate within 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population in the U.S. been polled.
All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample composition reflects that of the actual U.S. population according to U.S. Census figures. Respondents had the option to be interviewed in English or Spanish. Please note that throughout this document, figures based on Independent voters are indicative only due to small sample size. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of a per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. Responses are based on the full sample of adults unless otherwise noted.
More data and full technical details are available in the topline document attached.
For more information on this news release please contact:
Research Director, Public Sector Practice
Ipsos Public Affairs
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