Ipsos/ Reuters Poll: November 2011
Friday, November 04, 2011
Washington, D.C. Ipsos' latest poll carried out on behalf of Thomson Reuters and published today shows, for the first time, Obama and Romney on equal footing when it comes to a Presidential head-to-head. Among Registered Voters, Romney is on 44% to Obama’s 43%, which represents a shift from the last time we asked this question in September 2011, when Obama led Romney 49% to 43% among Registered Voters.
Neither Cain nor Perry manage to close the gap with Obama however: Obama leads Cain 46%-41% and Perry 47%-41% among Registered Voters.
Other key findings from the poll – which covers a range of topics including the stimulus bills, unions, and political demography – are included below:
- On balance, a majority of Americans (62%) believe that the stimulus bills that Congress has approved in recent years have ‘just created debt’ (as opposed to helped the economy), but there is a strong division here by party:
- Democrats are equally divided on the issue, with 44% believing it has helped the economy, and 45% that it has created debts
- The vast majority of Republicans, on the other hand, believe the stimulus bills have created debt (82%)
- Half (51%) of Americans agree that ‘Organized labor has an important role to play in American workplaces’, and just over two in five (43%) believe that ‘Labor unions have too much power and should be less involved in American work’. Views vary notably by party, with Democrats and Independents more likely to support the role of unions, and Republicans more likely to oppose it:
- Two thirds of Democrats (66%) and Independents (64%) think that organized labor has a role to play in American workplaces, while just over a quarter (28% for Dems and 27% for Indeps) think unions have too much power
- Two thirds of Republicans (67%) think that unions hold too much power
- This poll included political identification metrics about Tea Party support and Occupy/We are the 99% support:
- Half of all Americans (50%) identify at least a little with the Tea Party movement, and this rises to 72% among Republicans (and is at 36% among Democrats and 40% among Independents)
- Very similarly, half of all Americans (51%) identify at least a little with Occupy Wall Street/We are the 99% movements, and this rises to 70% among Democrats (and is at 33% among Republicans and 43% among Independents)
- We also looked at the data in more detail with regard to how people fall out across the political spectrum with these movements:
- Equal proportions of Democrats and Republicans (35%) identify ONLY with the Occupy and Tea Party movements respectively
- Just six percent of Americans identify with BOTH the Tea Party and Occupy movements
- A majority (56%) of Americans do not identify with either movement, and this rises to 67% among Independents
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Reuters from October 31st through Nov 3rd, 2011. For the survey, a nationally representative, randomly selected sample of exactly 1,106 adults aged 18 and older across the United States was interviewed by Ipsos via live telephone interviewing on landlines and cell phones. With a sample of this
size, the results are considered accurate within 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they could have been had the entire adult population in the U.S. been polled. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and
measurement error. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample composition reflects that of the actual U.S. population according to U.S. Census figures. Respondents had the option to be interviewed in English or Spanish. Please note that throughout this document, figures based on Independent voters are indicative only due to small sample size. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of a per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. Responses are based on the full sample of adults unless otherwise noted.
More data and full technical details are available in the topline document attached.
For more information on this news release please contact:
Managing Director, Public Sector Practice
Ipsos Public Affairs
Vice President, Public Sector Practice
Ipsos Public Affairs
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