With Liberal “Hail Mary” on Healthcare in Final Quarter of Campaign, Poll Finds Liberals Least Trusted on Healthcare
Harper Dealing With His Own Problems in Guergis Affair
Wednesday, April 20, 2011
Toronto, ON – Heading into the final quarter of the campaign, Michael Ignatieff and the Liberals have thrown a “Hail Mary” pass, touring with former Prime Minister Paul Martin and trumpeting the Liberal position on healthcare, saying that the Tories would dismantle the current system and ruin Canada’s coveted healthcare system.
But a new Ipsos Reid poll of 6,262 likely voters, conducted exclusively for Global Television, has revealed that when it comes to the party and leader they trust most to manage healthcare in Canada, the Liberal “Hail Mary” pass is headed for the stands. In fact, Michael Ignatieff and the Liberals come last among the national parties with only 20% indicating that they most trust the Liberals to manage healthcare in Canada. Three in ten (30%) trust Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party most to manage healthcare in Canada, while Jack Layton and the NDP (46%) are by a significant margin the most trusted on this file. Four percent (4%) of Canadians (16% of Quebecers) most trust Gilles Duceppe and the Bloc Quebecois to manage healthcare in Canada.
In fact, only 62% of current Liberal supporters most trust Michael Ignatieff and the Liberals on healthcare, suggesting that Michael Ignatieff is having a hard time convincing many of his own supporters that he’s best to manage this delicate issue. More Conservative supporters trust their party the most on healthcare (80%), while NDP (90%) supporters are the most trustworthy of their own party to manage healthcare. Moreover, supporters of the Bloc Quebecois are just as likely to most trust Jack Layton and the NDP (46%) on healthcare as the party they currently support (45%).
In 2004 the federal and provincial governments agreed on a health care accord that determined how much the federal government would contribute to the provincial health care systems. This agreement is set to expire in 2014. While Michael Ignatieff has been touring the country trying to convince Canadians that he’s the man to be entering into these negotiations, once again Michael Ignatieff and the Liberals (22%) are the least trusted national party, significantly behind both Stephen Harper and the Conservatives (32%), and Jack Layton and the NDP (41%). Five percent (5%) of Canadians (19% of Quebecers) most trust Gilles Duceppe and the Bloc to re-negotiate the health accord with the provinces.
Harper’s Handling of the Guergis Affair…
One issue that appears to be dogging Prime Minister Stephen Harper is the case of former Conservative MP and Cabinet Minister Helena Guergis. Ms. Guergis was expelled from the Conservative caucus by Stephen Harper last year as a result of allegations of fraud, extortion, misuse of government resources, and other allegations linked to her husband, former MP Rahim Jaffer. She maintains her innocence, states that there is no proof of these allegations against her, and says that she wasn't given a fair chance to defend herself and she doesn't know why she was kicked out of the Conservative Party. Further, the RCMP has cleared her of any wrong-doing.
Thinking about how Conservative leader Stephen Harper handled the situation, one half (49%) of voters ‘disapprove’ (31% strongly/18% somewhat) with the way Stephen Harper handled this, while just three in ten (30%) ‘approve’ (13% strongly/18% somewhat). Two in ten (21%) don’t know enough about the issue to pass judgement.
These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for Global Television on April 19-20, 2011. The poll was conducted among 6,262 adult Canadians who say they are most likely to vote in the Election on May 2nd. Respondents were selected via the Ipsos I-Say Online Panel, Ipsos Reid's national online panel. The sample was drawn from a pre-recruited panel of over 11,246 Canadians who indicate that they are likely to vote on Election Day. Weighting then was employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the population of Canadian adults according to the latest Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. However, an unweighted probability sample of this size, with a 100% response rate, would have an estimated margin of error of +/- 1.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what the results would have been had the entire adult population of voters in Canada been polled.
For more information on this news release, please contact:
Ipsos Public Affairs
About Ipsos Reid
Ipsos Reid is Canada's market intelligence leader, the country's leading provider of public opinion research, and research partner for loyalty and forecasting and modelling insights. With operations in eight cities, Ipsos Reid employs more than 600 research professionals and support staff in Canada. The company has the biggest network of telephone call centres in the country, as well as the largest pre-recruited household and online panels. Ipsos Reid's marketing research and public affairs practices offer the premier suite of research vehicles in Canada, all of which provide clients with actionable and relevant information. Staffed with seasoned research consultants with extensive industry-specific backgrounds, Ipsos Reid offers syndicated information or custom solutions across key sectors of the Canadian economy, including consumer packaged goods, financial services, automotive, retail, and technology & telecommunications. Ipsos Reid is an Ipsos company, a leading global survey-based market research group.
To learn more, please visit www.ipsos.ca.
Ipsos is a leading global survey-based market research company, owned and managed by research professionals. Ipsos helps interpret, simulate, and anticipate the needs and responses of consumers, customers, and citizens around the world.
Member companies assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience
responses to various media. They measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos member companies offer expertise in advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, and public affairs research, as well as forecasting, modeling, and consulting. Ipsos has a full line of custom, syndicated,
omnibus, panel, and online research products and services, guided by industry experts and bolstered by advanced analytics and methodologies. The company was founded in 1975 and has been publicly traded
since 1999. In 2010, Ipsos generated global revenues of €1.140 billion ($1.6 billion U.S.).
Visit www.ipsos-na.com to learn more about Ipsos
offerings and capabilities.
Ipsos, listed on the Eurolist of Euronext – Comp B, is part of SBF 120 and the Mid-100 Index, adheres to the Next Prime segment and is eligible to the Deferred Settlement System. Isin FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP