As Parliament Prepares to Return Next Week, Conservatives Hold Tenuous Lead
Conservatives (34%) Maintain 3-Point Lead over Liberals (31%), NDP (16%), Bloc (10%) and Green Party (9%)
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Toronto, ON – As Parliament prepares to resume next week, the Conservatives appear to be holding on to their tenuous lead, according to a new Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of Postmedia News and Global Television. On a national level, the poll shows that very little has changed since Ipsos Reid’s last poll conducted one month ago.
If an election were held tomorrow, Prime Minister Stephen Harper and his Conservatives would receive 34% of the vote among decided voters, unchanged from last month. The Liberal Party, led by Michael Ignatieff, would garner 31% support, also unchanged from last month.
The NDP and leader Jack Layton would receive 16% support among decided voters (up 1 point) while the Bloc Quebecois, under Gilles Duceppe, would receive 10% of the vote, nationally (up 1 point). Support for Elizabeth May and the Green Party holds steady at 9%. Five percent (5%) of voters remain undecided.
In Quebec, the Bloc (39%) continues to have a commanding lead over the Liberals (22%), Conservatives (17%) and the NDP (16%).
Despite the stability in party support that has taken hold nationally, in seat-rich Ontario there appears to be a certain degree of voter volatility. The Liberals (41%) have opened an eight-point lead over the Conservatives (33%). The NDP (15%) and Green Party (10%) lag behind.
These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted on behalf of Postmedia News and Global Television from September 8-12, 2010. For the survey, a representative randomly-selected sample of 1,000 adult Canadians was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ± 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population of Canada been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Canadian population according to Census data. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.
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Ipsos Reid Public Affairs
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