Washington, DC - Ipsos' latest poll carried out on behalf of Reuters and published today shows that the Republicans lead in both the Senate and Gubernatorial races. Toomey leads Sestak by 10 points (47% to 37%) and Corbett leads Onorato by 15 points (49% vs. 34%) among likely voters.
When we asked Pennsylvania voters to imagine that Arlen Specter had won the Democratic primary for Senate, the figures were fairly similar, with Toomey on 52% and Specter on 40%. This suggests that the GOP has genuine momentum here outside of the identities of individual candidates and isn't necessarily just benefiting from the fallout from the Democratic Primary (although the primary certainly didn't do the party's image any good, with one in seven PA voters naming 'government, politics and politicians' as a key problem facing the state).
Three in five (59%) registered voters say that Obama's endorsement of Specter over Sestak makes 'no difference' in their decision on how to vote. Small minorities of Democrats (19%) and Republicans (15%) say that Obama's endorsement of Specter has made them more likely to support Sestak, and just 12% of Dems say it has made them less likely to support Sestak.
Other key findings:
- The Enthusiasm Gap is less extreme in Pennsylvania than other states we have polled in, with 48% of Democrats and 57% of Republicans certain to vote.
- Over half (55%) think that things in PA are 'off on the wrong track', with the economy being named as the top problem (48%). Concern about the budget/deficit (16%), government generally (14%) and taxes (14%) are also fairly high.
- About half (52%) disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is doing his job as Governor and 43% approve; this is not split entirely along party lines, as 41% of Dems and 65% of Republicans disapprove of the way he has been doing his job
More data and full technical details are available in the topline document which is available for download on the right-hand side of this page.
For more information on this press release, please contact:
Ipsos Public Affairs
Managing Director, Public Sector Practice
Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos is a leading global survey-based market research company, owned and managed by research professionals. Ipsos helps interpret, simulate, and anticipate the needs and responses of consumers, customers, and citizens around the world.
Member companies assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media. They measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos member companies offer expertise in advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, and public affairs research, as well as forecasting, modeling, and consulting. Ipsos has a full line of custom, syndicated, omnibus, panel, and online research products and services, guided by industry experts and bolstered by advanced analytics and methodologies. The company was founded in 1975 and has been publicly traded since 1999.
In 2008, Ipsos generated global revenues of €979.3 million ($1.34 billion U.S.)
Visit www.ipsos-na.com to learn more about Ipsos offerings and capabilities.
Ipsos, listed on the Eurolist of Euronext – Comp B, is part of SBF 120 and the Mid-100 Index, adheres to the Next Prime segment and is eligible to the Deferred Settlement System. Isin FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP