Financial Meltdown has Effect
Obama opens 15-point lead on the Economy
Obama 52%, McCain 37%
Economy jumps 6 points as most important issue
Obama Opens 7-Point Lead in Presidential Race –
Obama 47%, McCain 40%
Tuesday, October 07, 2008
Washington, DC – A new Ipsos/McClatchy poll of registered voters indicates that Barack Obama has extended his lead over John McCain – 47% for Obama/Biden and 40% for McCain/Palin. Third party candidates Ralph Nader (Independent) and Bob Barr (Libertarian) received 3% and 1% respectively.
These figures show movement from last week’s Ipsos/McClatchy poll: Obama 46% and McCain 42%.
Candidate Commitment Remains Solid…
Commitment to vote for the candidates on November 4th remains high among registered voters. Among Obama supporters, 79% report they will definitely vote for him; among McCain supporters, 76% state they will definitely vote for him.
It’s the Economy (and the Financial Meltdown), Stupid?!
In the wake of the Wall Street meltdown, American voters have focused their attention to traditional bread and butter, pocket book issues. Sixty-five percent (65%) of Americans now see the economy as the most important issue of the campaign—up 6-points from two weeks ago.
Obama trumps McCain on the Economy…
Voters in the most recent Ipsos/McClatchy poll see Obama as stronger than McCain on the Economy (52% versus 37%)—a full 15-point lead on the main issue of the campaign. This gap has increased over the past two weeks – an Ipsos/McClatchy poll conducted September 18-22 showed Obama leading McCain on this issue 48% to 40%.
Obama, also, made inroads on the leadership issue. In just two weeks, Obama went from trailing McCain on the issue (42%/50% on 9/28-22) to a current tie with McCain (47%/46%).
These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted October 2-6. For the survey, a nationally representative, randomly selected sample of exactly 1,012 adults aged 18 and older across the United States was interviewed by Ipsos. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate within ± 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population in the U.S. been polled. We interviewed 858 registered voters. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate within ± 3.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population in the U.S. been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the actual U.S. population according to U.S. Census figures. Interviews were conducted with respondents on land-line telephones and cellular phones. Respondents had the option to be interviewed in English or Spanish.
For more information on this news release, please contact:
Clifford Young, PhD
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
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